Nampa Housing Market 2026: Forecast & Prices vs Boise

Nampa Housing Market 2026: Forecast & Prices vs Boise

1st Choice Mortgage Company, LLC
1st Choice Mortgage Company, LLC
Published on January 21, 2026
Nampa housing market 2026 forecast comparing home prices in Nampa versus Boise by 1st Choice Mortgage

Nampa Housing Market 2026: Forecast & Prices vs Boise

If you are watching the Nampa housing market 2026 trends, you might be confused by the national news. Headlines scream about “crashing markets” or “frozen sales,” but if you live in Nampa, you know the reality is very different.

We have analyzed the Q4 2025 data for Canyon County, and the numbers tell a clear story: Resilience.

⚡ The 2026 Headline:
Nampa has officially cemented itself as the “Value Leader” of the Treasure Valley. While Boise prices creep out of reach for many, Nampa remains the sweet spot for affordability without sacrificing quality.

1. Nampa Housing Market 2026 Recap: The “Crash” That Failed

Throughout 2025, buyers were told to “wait for prices to drop.” Unfortunately for those who waited, prices went the other way.

Closing out Q4 2025, the data for Nampa & Canyon County shows steady appreciation, not a decline:

  • Nampa Median Price$430,000
  • Year-Over-Year Growth:  +7.5%
  • Avg Days on Market:  60 Days

Data Source: Q4 2025 Canyon County Market Reports.

2. Mortgage Rate Forecast: What to Expect in 2026

The biggest hurdle in 2025 was volatility. Rates bounced between 6% and 7.5%, making it hard for buyers to plan a budget.

The “New Normal” for 2026

Most housing economists and forecasts for 2026 predict a year of stabilization. We are unlikely to see rates return to 3%, but the aggressive spikes of the past two years appear to be over.

  • The Forecast: Expect rates to hover in the low-to-mid 6% range for most of 2026.
  • The Opportunity: Stability allows you to budget. You no longer have to worry that your quoted payment will jump $300 overnight.

3. The “Value Gap”: Nampa vs. Boise

Why are so many first-time buyers choosing the Nampa housing market 2026 for their first home? It comes down to simple math. The price gap between Ada County (Boise/Meridian) and Canyon County (Nampa) has widened to nearly $90,000.

Comparison Nampa (Canyon Co.) Boise (Ada Co.)
Median Price ~$430,000 ~$525,000
Inventory Moderate (Balanced) Tight
Competition Lower High

Don’t Forget: There are excellent First Time Home Buyer programs through Idaho Housing (IHFA) to take advantage of.

4. Financing Your Move: Why Nampa is FHA & VA Friendly

Beyond the lower sticker price, Nampa is uniquely positioned for buyers using government-backed loans. Unlike pricier markets where you might hit loan caps, Nampa is wide open for these programs.

🏠 FHA Loans in Nampa

The 2026 FHA Loan Limit for Canyon County is $586,500. With Nampa’s median price at $430k, nearly every home on the market qualifies.

Perfect for: Buyers with credit scores as low as 580 needing only 3.5% down.

🇺🇸 VA Loans in Nampa

Veterans can buy with 0% Down Payment. Even better? Because Nampa inventory is balanced, sellers are more willing to accept VA offers and often cover closing costs.

Perfect for: Veterans who want to keep cash in their pocket.

Note: We also offer Idaho Housing (IHFA) programs that can be combined with FHA loans for down payment assistance.

Frequently Asked Questions About Nampa Real Estate

Are home prices dropping in Nampa in 2026?

No. Data shows prices have stabilized and increased slightly (+7.5% YoY), settling around $430,000. We are not seeing a crash.

Is it cheaper to buy in Nampa vs Boise?

Yes. The median home in Nampa is roughly $90,000 cheaper than in Boise, which can save you approx. $600/month on your mortgage.

What is the FHA Loan Limit for Nampa?

For 2026, the FHA loan limit is $586,500. This covers the vast majority of homes for sale in Nampa.

Curious what your payment would look like in Nampa?
Let’s run a custom FHA or VA quote for you today.

Get a Custom Rate Quote

About the Author: Jerry Robinson

Broker/Owner, NMLS #4475
Jerry has over 30 years of mortgage experience in the Treasure Valley. He specializes in helping Idaho families navigate FHA, VA, and Idaho Housing loans without the big bank red tape.

1st Choice Mortgage Company, LLC
1st Choice Mortgage Company, LLC
Click to Call or Text:
(208) 375-5626

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